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Physiological Measurement

IOP Publishing

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Physiological Measurement's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Toward precision rehabilitation in adolescent mild traumatic brain injury: leveraging physiologic data from commercially available smartwatches to identify patient subgroups

Kettlety, S. A.; Akrong, E. R.; Suskauer, S. J.; Roemmich, R. T.; Slomine, B. S.; Svingos, A. M.

2026-07-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358245 medRxiv
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Autonomic dysfunction is a common sequela of mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). Physical activity progression is an integral component of mTBI rehabilitation, particularly in addressing autonomic dysfunction. However, clinicians often rely on point-in-time evaluation of orthostatic and exercise intolerance to guide activity recommendations. Commercially available wearable devices (e.g., Fitbits) provide an opportunity to evaluate heart rate response to activity in a real-world setting. Previous work has used physiologic (heart rate) and activity (step count) data to identify subgroups of adults with stroke that may be used to guide activity recommendations. This method may be useful to subgroup youth post-mTBI to identify those who have abnormal physiologic responses to activity. We aimed to identify subgroups using heart rate and step count data in adolescents presenting for specialty care after diagnosed mTBI. Eighty participants aged 13-18 within six months of mTBI diagnosis were recruited to wear a Fitbit Sense 2. Data from seven days and two nights collected within fourteen days of enrollment were included. A group-based steps per minute (SPM) threshold (25th percentile; 10 SPM) and individualized heart rate threshold (20% heart rate reserve (HRR)) were used to classify each minute of active daytime data into one of four quadrants: SPM>10 & HRR>20% (QI), SPM<10 & HRR>20% (QII), SPM<10 & HRR<20% (QIII), and SPM>10 & HRR<20% (QIV). We used percentage of minutes in each quadrant, mean steps per day, percentage of minutes with zero steps, mean SPM in QI, and resting heart rate in a k-means clustering algorithm to identify subgroups. We evaluated subgroup differences by clustering variables using Kruskal-Wallis tests. Sixty-one participants were included. Three subgroups emerged: Sedentary (n=12), Active (n=23), and Atypically Elevated Heart Rate (AEHR; n=26). Subgroups varied significantly on all clustering variables (p<0.01). The Active subgroup took a high number of steps per day, had lower sedentary time, and had the highest activity intensity (mean SPM in QI). The Sedentary subgroup took fewer steps per day compared to the Active subgroup, had high sedentary time, and showed the highest resting heart rate. The AEHR subgroup took fewer steps per day compared to the Active subgroup and had high sedentary time. The AEHR subgroup also spent a higher percentage of time with an atypically high heart rate response to low levels of activity compared to the other subgroups. Our findings suggest that data from wearable devices can identify subgroups of adolescents with mTBI with distinct physiologic/physical activity profiles, which may ultimately be used to inform personalized activity prescriptions. Future work should aim to understand how the identified subgroups relate to longitudinal outcomes.

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Modeling effect of hypertension control on death, incidence of atrial fibrillation and economic impact to Medicare and hospitals.

Williams, J.; Mencer, N.; Mak, W. Y.; Dalle Luche, G.; Dundovic, S.

2026-07-17 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358198 medRxiv
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Background Hypertension is a major modifiable risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF), yet blood pressure (BP) control remains suboptimal in older U.S. adults. Objectives This study evaluated how improve systolic BP (SBP) control could affect incident AF, downstream AF ablation demand, Medicare savings, and hospital revenue. Methods A population-based modelling framework was developed to estimate mortality and incident AF hazards across SBP strata: <120, 120-139, 140-159, and ?160 mm/Hg. AF incidence in the SBP <120 mmHg group was set at 2.2 per 1,000 person-year, with hazard ratios of 1.17, 1.42 and 1.64 applied to higher SBP strata. We assumed 25% of incident AF patients would undergo ablation, with a 7.2% complication rate. AF prevalence was projected to increase by 4.6% annually over 10 years. Medicare savings and hospital revenue foregone were estimated under varying procedure cost and contribution-margin assumptions. Results Higher SBP was associated with greater hazards of death and incident AF. Improved SBP control reduced projected AF incidence and ablation demand. Over 10 years, cumulative Medicare savings were projected at $8.7B-$10.9B across the full modelled population. However, reduced ablation volume translated into hospital revenue foregone, ranging from $75M to $377M in the first year, and approximately $1.03B-$5.2B cumulatively over 10 years. Conclusions Improved SBP control may reduce AF incidence, prevent avoidable invasive ablation procedures, relieve pressure on surgical waitlists, and generate substantial Medicare savings. However, these benefits may reduce hospital procedural revenue, highlighting a misalignment between prevention-oriented care and fee-for-service reimbursement incentives.

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Predicting daily sleep outcomes from continuous HRV in female chronic pelvic pain disorders

Clarke, R.; Shahnawaz, S.; Hirten, R.; Rodrigues, J.; Landell, K.; Danieletto, M.; Ona, G.; Ensari, I.

2026-07-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.16.26357390 medRxiv
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Background: Female chronic pelvic pain disorders (CPPDs) are highly prevalent and frequently accompanied by sleep disturbance and autonomic nervous system (ANS) dysregulation. Heart rate variability (HRV), a non-invasive index of ANS function, may provide an objective, physiological correlate of sleep health and can be monitored using wearable devices, enabling a continuous, scalable approach. Objectives: This study examined whether wearable-derived daily HRV metrics are associated with self-reported sleep disturbance in women with CPPD(s) compared with healthy controls, using epoch-level data and generalized additive models. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study using up to 90 days of data from a mobile health research app. Participants were 128 women with CPPD(s) and 63 demographically matched healthy controls, who completed a daily PROMIS-based 3-item sleep disturbance questionnaire and wore Fitbit devices that provided 5-minute HRV epochs. Primary predictors were high frequency (HF) and low frequency (LF) power and root mean square of successive differences (RMSSD), with group (CPPD vs control), daily pain severity, and menstrual status as covariates. We fit separate generalized additive mixed models (GAMMs) for each HRV metric with a nonlinear smooth term and an HRV x Group interaction. Results: Higher HF and RMSSD were associated with lower sleep disturbance scores, and these associations were stronger in controls than in the CPPD group (HF x group B {approx} -1.59, p < 0.00010; RMSSD x group B {approx} -0.58, p < 0.0001). LF showed a more complex pattern but also differed by group (B {approx} -0.531, p < 0.0001). HRV smooth terms were highly nonlinear, and models explained ~8-9% of deviance in sleep disturbances. Pain severity and menstrual bleeding were strongly associated with worse sleep. Conclusion: These findings indicate small but consistent associations between wearable-derived HRV metrics and daily sleep disturbances in women with CPPD(s) and healthy controls, with weaker associations in CPPD(s). Integrating continuous HRV with symptom tracking could support low-burden and multimodal monitoring of sleep health in chronic pelvic pain, but prospective validation is needed before HRV can be used for diagnostic or treatment response decision making.

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Real-World Practices of Fluoroquinolone Prophylaxis in Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis: A Longitudinal Study from a Tertiary Care Center in North India

Malviya, A.; Panda, P. K.; Sharma, A.; Kant, R.; Bairwa, M.; Panwar, V.; Solanki, B.; Dua, R.

2026-07-16 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26357717 medRxiv
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Background and objectives Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a life-threatening complication of cirrhosis with ascites, carrying one- and two-year mortality rates exceeding 70% and 80%, respectively. Fluoroquinolone prophylaxis is the cornerstone of SBP prevention. Real-world longitudinal data on prescribing practices and clinical outcomes from Indian tertiary care centers are sparse. We aimed to evaluate fluoroquinolone prescribing patterns, guideline adherence, and six-month clinical outcomes in SBP patients at a tertiary academic center in North India. Methods This was a pre-specified sub-analysis of a 15-month analytical longitudinal study at AIIMS Rishikesh. Adults (age >/=18 years) admitted with SBP and initiated on fluoroquinolone prophylaxis were enrolled consecutively and followed for six months. Prescribing practices were compared against EASL and AASLD recommendations. The primary outcome was the rate of guideline-directed prescribing. Secondary outcomes included clinical cure at discharge, six-month cure, relapse, regimen modification, adverse drug reactions, and treatment compliance. Categorical variables were compared by Fisher's exact test or chi-squared test (SPSS). Results Forty-eight SBP patients were included (mean age 44.75 +/- 11.94 years; 85.4% male). Guideline-directed fluoroquinolone prophylaxis was prescribed to all patients (100%). Norfloxacin 400 mg once daily was predominant (85.4%), followed by levofloxacin (10.4%) and moxifloxacin (4.2%). Cure at discharge was 85.4%. At six months, 64.6% maintained sustained cure and 22.9% relapsed. Regimen modification occurred in 22.9%, most commonly antimicrobial substitution. Nausea was the only adverse drug reaction (4.8%). Treatment compliance was 73.8%. No patient underwent therapeutic drug monitoring. Conclusions Fluoroquinolone prescribing for SBP prophylaxis at AIIMS Rishikesh was fully concordant with standard guidelines. Despite complete adherence, a relapse rate of 22.9% and frequent regimen modification underscore the limitations of long-term fluoroquinolone prophylaxis, likely reflecting emerging quinolone resistance. Strengthening antimicrobial stewardship is essential to sustain prophylaxis effectiveness in Indian tertiary care settings.

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Developing a Heart Failure Readmission Model From Inpatient Electronic Medical Record Data

Martin, E. A.; Lee, S.; Walker, R.; Pitka, E.; Soroush, M. Z.; Ezekowitz, J.; Howlett, J. G.; Fine, N. M.; Bakal, J. A.; Quan, H.; Eastwood, C. A.

2026-07-21 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.07.18.26358391 medRxiv
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Importance: Heart failure readmissions remain common following hospitalization, but accurately identifying which patients will be readmitted after discharge remains challenging. Improved prediction could support targeted transitional care interventions and more efficient allocation of clinical resources. Objective: In this study we attempted to improve readmission prediction after heart failure hospitalization by using variables chosen through a modified Delphi process, and using inpatient Electronic Medical Record (EMR) data, focusing on clinical notes. Design: This prognostic study developed competing risk survival models to predict readmission after heart failure hospitalization. Variables were chosen using a modified Delphi process, and extracted from EMR notes using various natural language processing techniques or from other EMR elements where appropriate. Patients were admitted between 2011 through 2019, and at least one year of follow-up was available for all patients. Models were evaluated using C-statistics, as well as sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values. Setting: During the study period, all acute-care facilities in Calgary, Alberta used the same EMR system, from which patients were selected. Participants: Patients were 18 years or older, resided in Alberta, and were admitted to a Calgary hospital. All corresponding admissions with a most responsible diagnosis of heart failure were included (n=15,160). Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome of interest was readmission within 30 days, though 90- and 365-day time frames were also analyzed. Death was treated as a competing risk and analysed at those time frames as well.

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Explainable, personalised prediction of emergency readmission and mortality following hospitalisation in patients with heart failure

Gallego Luxan, B.; Huberts, L.; Yu, J.; Blake, V.; Liu, L.; Jorm, L.; Ooi, S.-Y.

2026-07-17 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358201 medRxiv
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Background: Unplanned emergency readmissions remain common following hospitalisation for heart failure (HF). Residual congestion, atrial fibrillation, frailty, and other comorbidities contribute to adverse outcomes after discharge. Identifying patients at high risk of readmission or death may help target post-discharge management. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalised with HF in selected New South Wales hospitals who were discharged alive and not documented as receiving end-of-life care. Clinical, laboratory, medication, and text-derived variables extracted from electronic health records were used to develop predictive models and corresponding risk scores for emergency readmission and all-cause mortality within 180 days of discharge. Feature importance methods were used to identify key predictors and explain individual risk estimates. To illustrate model predictions while preserving patient privacy, we generated representative synthetic patient profiles by summarising the characteristics of groups of patients with similar predicted risk patterns and visualised the major contributors to their predicted risks using Shapley values. Results: The study included 5,202 hospitalisations among 3,933 patients. Within 180 days of discharge, 45.2% of patients experienced at least one emergency readmission and 12.4% died. The most common causes of emergency readmission were recurrent HF, followed by atrial fibrillation, chest pain, and pneumonia. Predictive performance was moderate for emergency readmission (AUC 0.70; calibration slope 1.30) and good for mortality (AUC 0.84; calibration slope 1.01). Emergency readmission risk was primarily associated with greater prior healthcare utilisation, a higher number of active medical problems, high risk of falls, older age, and impaired kidney function. Mortality risk was most strongly associated with abnormal red blood cell distribution width, elevated blood urea, older age, and lower systolic blood pressure. A lower number of discharge medications, particularly cardiovascular therapies, was associated with a higher risk of emergency readmission and a lower risk of mortality. Representative synthetic patient profiles demonstrated heterogeneity in the factors contributing to predicted risks, illustrating the value of patient-level risk visualisation. Conclusions: Predictive models identified clinically meaningful predictors of emergency readmission and mortality following HF hospitalisation. Patient-level visualisation of individual risk drivers may support more personalised post-discharge management.

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Regional Disruption of Slow-Wave Sleep Homeostasis in Children with Sleep-Disordered Breathing

Garcia Molina, G.; Peterson, B.; Strainis, E.; Kille, T.; Myers, A.; Taporoski, T.; Matthews, C.; Vascan, A. M.; Jones, S.

2026-07-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358161 medRxiv
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Importance Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is common in childhood and is associated with attentional and behavioral impairments despite largely preserved sleep macrostructure and minimal abnormalities in conventional electroencephalographic measures. This discrepancy has contributed to the perception that sleep is relatively preserved in pediatric SDB and has limited understanding of the physiological mechanisms underlying morbidity. Objective To determine whether pediatric SDB is associated with disruption of the regional organization and homeostatic dynamics of slow-wave activity (SWA), a key physiological marker of sleep-dependent neural recovery and development. Design, Setting, and Participants Cross-sectional study of 62 children aged 4 to 12 years who underwent overnight polysomnography with high-density electroencephalography in a laboratory setting. Participants were recruited from clinical referrals and the community, spanning the full spectrum of SDB severity. Exposures SDB severity indexed by hypopnea index (HI), apnea-hypopnea index (AHI), and obstructive apnea index (OAI). Main Outcomes and Measures Regional electroencephalogram-derived SWA (0.5 to 4 Hz) topography and exponential decay parameters derived from frontal and posterior cortical regions. The frontal-to-posterior decay-rate ratio was evaluated as a summary measure of regional sleep homeostasis. Results In children with lower hypopnea index, SWA demonstrated the expected developmental pattern, with posterior predominance in younger children and a progressive shift toward a more balanced anterior-posterior distribution with age. Increasing HI was associated with attenuation or reversal of this spatial organization. Global SWA showed no meaningful association with SDB severity. In contrast, regional frontal and posterior decay parameters were strongly associated with HI (adjusted R2 = 0.53; p < 1e-6) but not OAI (adjusted R2 = 0.05; p = .95). The frontal-to-posterior decay-rate ratio showed the strongest association with HI {beta} = 4.15; 95% CI, 3.17-5.13; p < 1e-10; adjusted R2 = 0.55. Conclusions and Relevance Pediatric SDB was associated with regional disruption of slow-wave sleep homeostasis rather than global loss of deep sleep. These alterations affected both the spatial organization and temporal dynamics of SWA during a period of active cortical maturation and were not captured by conventional sleep metrics. Regional SWA dynamics may provide a developmentally sensitive marker of physiological disease burden in children with SDB.

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Scaling ECG Foundation Models and Identifying a Threshold for Effective Representation Learning

Sriram, R.; Nenadic, I.; Shahrabani, E.; Goonewardena, S.; Yao, S.; Farrell, B.; Loring, Z.; Murthy, V. L.

2026-07-17 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358182 medRxiv
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We conducted a scaling evaluation of unlabeled pretraining for electrocardiogram foundation model performance. One-dimensional vision transformer masked autoencoders were pretrained across increasing ECG volumes and fine-tuned for rhythm, morphology, diagnostic, and structural heart disease tasks. Models pretrained below 400,000 ECGs failed to consistently exceed controls without self-supervised pre-training, whereas 600,000 to 800,000 ECGs improved AUROC across tasks, suggesting a minimum threshold for effective ECG representation learning.

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Transient Apical Sparing in Hypertensive Heart Disease Explained by Laplace's Law

Hwang, I.-C.; Kim, H. M.; Jang, Y.; Bak, M.; Park, J.; Jeon, J.; Lee, S.-A.; Choi, H.-M.; Yoon, Y. E.; Cho, G.-Y.

2026-07-19 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358114 medRxiv
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Background: Apical sparing of left ventricular longitudinal strain (LS) is an echocardiographic clue to cardiac amyloidosis but may also occur in hypertensive heart disease (HHD). Objectives: To determine whether apical sparing in HHD is associated with regional left ventricular wall stress estimated according to Laplace's law. Methods: We retrospectively studied 1,559 patients with HHD, 47 with light-chain cardiac amyloidosis (ALCA), and 409 normotensive controls. Artificial intelligence-assisted echocardiography quantified segmental LS, wall thickness, and cavity radius at the basal, midventricular, and apical levels. Wall stress was estimated as mean blood pressure (MBP) x radius/(2 x wall thickness). Apical sparing was defined as a relative regional strain ratio (RRSR)[&ge;]1.0. Results: Apical sparing was present in 14 patients with HHD (0.9%), 13 with ALCA (27.7%), and no controls. Among HHD patients with apical sparing, RRSR decreased from 1.11{+/-}0.13 to 0.72{+/-}0.10 after antihypertensive treatment (P<0.001), accompanied by reduced wall stress and improved basal and midventricular LS, with resolution of apical sparing in all 14 patients. In the overall HHD cohort, changes in MBP and left ventricular mass index were independently associated with changes in RRSR. In an exploratory analysis of HHD patients with apical sparing, a reduction in basal wall stress was associated with a reduction in RRSR ({beta}=0.267 for {bigtriangleup}RRSRx100, 95% CI 0.023-0.511; P=0.036). In ALCA, favorable hematologic response was the only determinant of RRSR reduction. Conclusions: Apical sparing in HHD was uncommon but reversible and may represent a load-sensitive deformation pattern associated with regional wall stress, consistent with Laplace's law.

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Composite Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiogram for Detection and Prediction of Structural Heart Disease

Lee, H. S.; Kang, S.; Lee, M. S.; Pandey, A.; Kim, M.; Jang, J.-H.; Jo, Y.-Y.; Lim, J.; Son, J. M.; Kim, K. S.; Kwon, J.-m.; Lee, S.-P.; Kim, K.-H.

2026-07-21 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.07.21.26358539 medRxiv
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Background Structural heart disease (SHD) drives heart failure and cardiovascular mortality but remains underdiagnosed, and echocardiography is limited as a population-level screening tool. Objectives We evaluated whether a composite artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG), combining independently developed models for left ventricular systolic (LVSD) and diastolic dysfunction (LVDD), identifies prevalent and predicts incident SHD across diverse populations. Methods In this multinational cohort study, detection was assessed cross-sectionally in a Korean clinical cohort (Incheon Sejong Hospital) and a US dataset (Columbia University Irving Medical Center), and incident risk was assessed in the Korean cohort and the UK Biobank among individuals without baseline SHD or heart failure. Adults with paired ECG and echocardiography were analyzed for detection, with the composite defined as positive on either model. SHD comprised reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, moderate or severe valvular disease, left ventricular hypertrophy, or pulmonary hypertension. Detection was assessed by sensitivity and specificity, and incident risk by Cox models and the C statistic. Results Among 46,082 and 36,286 participants in the two detection cohorts, the composite detected SHD with sensitivity of 71.8% and 76.1% and specificity of 88.3% and 70.1%, with positivity across all phenotypes. Among at-risk individuals, composite positivity was associated with incident SHD (hazard ratios, 3.75 and 2.75), with C statistics of 0.69 to 0.78. Conclusions A composite AI-ECG identified prevalent and predicted incident SHD across multinational cohorts, capturing signals beyond its training targets and supporting its potential as a scalable cardiovascular screening tool; whether ECG-based risk stratification improves outcomes requires prospective evaluation.

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Patient-Specific EEG Baseline Establishment Using the E-norms Method for Pediatric Seizure Detection Without Labeled Training Data

Jabre, J. F.

2026-07-16 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357876 medRxiv
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The aim of this work is to validate patient-specific EEG baseline establishment using the e-norms method as a screening and retrospective-review tool for seizure detection in pediatric epilepsy. The method was applied to 247 seizure-free EEG recordings (263.92 hours) from 10 patients in the CHB-MIT Scalp EEG Database (ages 3-18). A composite stability metric combining first-derivative dynamics, spectral entropy, variance, and line length was computed per 2-second epoch across 23 channels. Patient-specific detection thresholds were derived from each patient's seizure-free baseline using a weighted statistical procedure. Performance was validated against 72 expert-annotated seizures (2,705 epochs) across 62 seizure files, with durations spanning 6 to 264 seconds (44-fold range). The results show that detection achieved 94.4% event-level sensitivity (68 of 72 seizures; 95% CI 86.6-97.8%) and 81.5% epoch-level sensitivity (2,204 of 2,705 epochs; 95% CI 80.0-82.9%). Eight of ten patients achieved 100% event-level sensitivity with epoch-level sensitivity ranging from 58.7% to 100.0%. Two patients showed partial event-level failures (CHB-15: 17 of 20; CHB-18: 5 of 6), with the four missed events attributable to two characterizable failure modes. Patient-specific thresholds ranged from 4.06 to 4.81 (mean 4.51 +/- 0.25); threshold variation did not correlate reliably with age or sex, confirming that no universal threshold could achieve comparable performance. Detection margins ranged from 0.88 to 1.24 times. Patient-specific e-norms achieves 94.4% event-level sensitivity for pediatric EEG seizure detection without requiring labeled seizure training data, exceeding published human expert inter-rater agreement (50-76%) and recent automated approaches in adult cohorts using behind-the-ear EEG and wearable ECG. Two characterizable failure modes account for the four missed events and inform appropriate clinical use. As a high-sensitivity screening tool complementary to real-time alarm systems, the method is ready for adult validation, prospective deployment, and head-to-head benchmarking.

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Association between stage-specific sleep bout durations and obstructive sleep apnea severity: A variable-domain functional regression approach

Rahman, M. M.; Guha Niyogi, P.

2026-07-16 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358060 medRxiv
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The apnea-hypopnea index (AHI), the conventional metric of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) severity, is typically studied using scalar summaries of sleep architecture, such as the total time spent in each sleep stage. Although clinically interpretable, these summaries fail to capture the temporal organization of overnight sleep-stage sequences and may obscure stage-specific associations with OSA severity. Modeling the complete sleep-stage trajectory provides substantially richer temporal information; however, because total sleep duration varies across individuals, sleep-stage trajectories are observed over subject-specific domains, limiting the applicability of conventional functional regression methods that assume a common observation interval. We therefore applied Variable-Domain Functional Regression (VDFR) to overnight polysomnographic data from the APPLES study (n= 1,103), treating the epoch-by-epoch sleep-stage sequence as a continuous, variable-length functional predictor of AHI. We compared three levels of sleep-stage granularity: five stages (Wakefulness, N1, N2, N3, REM), three stages (Wakefulness, Non-REM, REM), and binary staging (Wakefulness vs. Sleep). Functional sleep-stage terms were significant across all staging granularities and model structures (all p-values [&le;]0.001). Wake, N1, and N2 were positively associated with AHI, whereas N3 and REM were negatively associated, with REM exhibiting the strongest association. These effects were attenuated under coarser staging representations, highlighting the importance of preserving fine-grained sleep architecture. To our knowledge, this is the first application of VDFR to overnight polysomnographic data in OSA, showing that accommodating subject-specific sleep durations enables the identification of stage-specific temporal associations with AHI severity that are attenuated or obscured by coarser staging and conventional scalar analyses.

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Hypertension Phenotypes in a National Database: A Three-Axis State Model Integrating Diagnosis, Treatment Intensity, and Blood Pressure Control (The NDB-K7Ps-Study-8)

nakajima, K.; Sekine, A.

2026-07-19 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358276 medRxiv
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Hypertension is commonly defined as a binary condition despite substantial heterogeneity in diagnosis, treatment, and blood pressure (BP) control. We propose a three-axis state model integrating diagnosis status, treatment intensity, and BP control to better characterize hypertension phenotypes. The framework generates 27 possible states that can be condensed into seven clinically meaningful groups. We applied the model to 5,129,584 Japanese adults using the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups. Hierarchical cluster analysis, sensitivity analysis excluding patients with cardiovascular diseases other than hypertension, and validation against antihypertensive medication use were performed. Overall, 64% of participants were classified as normotensive, whereas 36% belonged to hypertension-related groups, including 11% with unrecognized hypertension and 7% with diagnosed but untreated hypertension. Agreement with data-driven hierarchical cluster analysis was substantial (weighted {kappa}=0.87). The group distribution remained largely unchanged in the sensitivity analysis, supporting the robustness of the proposed classification. Hypertension diagnosis also showed high validity, with a sensitivity of 96.5%, specificity of 91.8%, and substantial agreement with antihypertensive medication use ({kappa}=0.78). This three-axis framework provides a robust and clinically interpretable approach for characterizing hypertension phenotypes, enabling systematic identification of care gaps and supporting research, clinical decision-making, and population health management.

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An Integrated Anatomic Score for Intraprocedural Risk Stratification in Bicuspid TAVI: Development and External Validation

Yao, Y.; Li, Y.; Xiong, T.; Wang, J.; Jiang, W.; Peng, Y.; Wei, J.; He, S.; Zhao, Z.; Wei, X.; Li, X.; Meng, W.; Feng, Y.; Chen, M.

2026-07-20 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.07.18.26358381 medRxiv
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Background: Bicuspid aortic valve anatomy increases procedural complexity during transcatheter aortic valve implantation, yet outcome-oriented anatomic risk stratification for intraprocedural events remains limited. Aims: We aimed to develop and externally validate an anatomy-driven score to predict a composite intraprocedural endpoint, assessed at exit from the procedure room, in bicuspid transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Methods: Consecutive patients with bicuspid aortic valve undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation were analysed in a development cohort (N=793) and a multicentre external validation cohort (N=134). Candidate preprocedural computed tomography and echocardiographic variables were prespecified by expert consensus and refined using penalized regression with bootstrap stability selection within a domain-constrained framework. A five-indicator score (0 to 10 points) was derived from routine imaging metrics spanning the ascending aorta, aortic root, valve complex, annulus-outflow tract unit, and left ventricle, and tested using multivariable logistic regression. Results: The composite intraprocedural endpoint occurred in 101/793 (12.7%) patients in the development cohort, with stepwise increases across risk strata (7.2%, 13.3%, 30.6%; p<0.001). Each 1-point increase was independently associated with higher risk (odds ratio 1.32; 95% confidence interval 1.18-1.47). A similar gradient was observed in external validation (3.1%, 10.8%, 50.0%; p=0.012; odds ratio 1.55 per point), with a C-statistic of 0.725. Higher risk categories were associated with lower early safety and higher 30-day and 1-year mortality. Conclusions: An anatomy-driven score derived from routine preprocedural imaging demonstrates graded discrimination of intraprocedural risk and may inform procedural planning in bicuspid transcatheter aortic valve implantation.

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Aligning Reinforcement Learning with Clinical Practice for Safe Decision Support in Pediatric Sepsis

Bueso, F. G.; Wardle, R.; Manescu, P.; Spear, J.; Ray, S.; Peters, M.

2026-07-21 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.07.20.26358476 medRxiv
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Offline reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a promising framework for clinical decision support in sepsis, yet most existing studies focus exclusively on adult populations, leaving pediatric care largely unexplored despite important physiological and treatment differences. In this work, we develop offline RL policies for pediatric sepsis management in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) using a retrospective cohort of 2,229 episodes from Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH), formalized as finite horizon Markov Decision Process (MDP) with joint intravenous fluid and vasopressor actions. To better capture pediatric organ dysfunction dynamics, we incorporate Phoenix 8, a recently proposed pediatric sepsis severity score, as an intermediate reward shaping signal in addition to terminal 90 day mortality. We systematically vary the time step size (4, 8, and 12 hours) and reward structure (terminal 90 day mortality, with and without Phoenix 8 based intermediate shaping), and compare Double Deep Q Networks (DDQN), Conservative Q Learning (CQL), and a behavior cloning (BC) model of clinician practice. CQL consistently exhibits stable learning dynamics and favorable Fitted Q Evaluation estimates, while DDQN is prone to overestimation and instability, particularly at finer temporal resolutions and with dense rewards. CQL policies achieve high action-level agreement with historical clinician decisions for both fluids and vasopressors and reproduce clinically plausible escalation patterns across sepsis severity strata, whereas DDQN policies diverge more frequently toward implausible dosing. Temporal aggregation emerges as a key regularizer: moving from 4 hour to 8 hour bins shortens horizons, smooths reward noise, and improves stability without erasing clinically meaningful dynamics, with 8 hour binning providing the best trade off between policy performance and granularity. Our findings highlight time step size as a core design choice in offline RL for healthcare and provide empirical evidence that alternatives beyond the conventional 4 hour setup can enhance stability and safety while preserving clinical interpretability.

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Aggregating data to accelerate personalized therapy in heart failure (ADAPT-HF)

Roeder, C.; Goerg, C.; Talebi, A.; Stevens, L. M.; Scholtens, D. M.; Rasmussen-Torvik, L. P.; Alagna, L. M.; Shah, S. J.; Hall, J. L.; Das, A. K.; Jhund, P. S.; Kao, D. P.

2026-07-16 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357501 medRxiv
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Background: Increased public access to data from disparate sources provides opportunities to study and validate predictive and subphenotype models in heterogeneous disease conditions using aggregated individual patient data. Robust, explicit, and transparent harmonization of data elements is critical to ensure interpretability, reproducibility, and generalizability of secondary and retrospective analyses. Methods & Results: We designed and implemented ADAPT (Aggregating Data to Accelerate Personalized Therapy), a scalable framework using multiple software packages (R, SQL, BigQuery) that enables rapid, explicit harmonization of structured data elements from randomized trials and observational studies using a standard spreadsheet interface. User-specified criteria are applied to primary study data to produce harmonized longitudinal datasets comprised of demographics, medical history, quantitative observations, repeated measures, and clinical outcomes. We demonstrate this functionality using 26 clinical studies found in the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute BioLINCC resource. We illustrate the scalability of ADAPT to the order of billions of datapoints using administrative clinical data in a cloud-computing platform. We also present examples of collaborators using ADAPT for independent harmonization tasks for secondary analyses and democratization of publicly available data. Conclusion: ADAPT is a disease-agnostic, extensible, and scalable platform to support robust, transparent harmonization of structured research data using interfaces accessible to a variety of researchers regardless of programming ability. It extends FAIR principles beyond research data to also represent harmonization analyses by improving Findability of harmonization decisions, Accessibility of methods to other stakeholders, Interoperability with independent analyses and datasets, and Reusability through efficient implementation in a variety of analysis environments.

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MedZone Embedder: a framework for representation learning of Japanese secondary medical care areas from a national ICU registry, characterizing intensive care provision structure and regional vulnerability

Ohno, K.; Hashimoto, S.

2026-07-20 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358373 medRxiv
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Background: In Japan, acute inpatient care is divided into approximately 335 secondary medical care areas, which serve as the basic units for planning healthcare delivery systems under the 8th National Health Care Plan. While comparisons between regions and facilities typically rely on a single risk-adjusted metric, this approach confuses differences in patient demographics with differences in the actual infrastructure of intensive care units (ICUs). This paper presents a framework - MedZone Embedder - for deriving data-driven indicators of regional structural vulnerability by mapping secondary medical care areas onto a learned similarity space, together with its working implementation. The paper sets out the concept, the method, a proof of concept, and an explicit staged validation program, rather than national empirical results. Methods: Each area is represented by a feature vector consisting of aggregated values of intensive care provision indicators derived directly from the Japan Intensive Care Patient Database (JIPAD) - specifically, risk-adjusted mortality rates (standardized mortality ratios and an in-hospital composite indicator), technical efficiency, length of stay, readmission rates, case severity, and case composition - with the within-area variance of these indicators also taken into account. No hierarchical processing by facility type is performed. A contrastive autoencoder (multilayer perceptron encoder 32 -> 16 -> 8, symmetric decoder) is trained by self-supervised learning, using an objective function that combines reconstruction and normalized temperature cross-entropy (NT-Xent) on noise-augmented views. The resulting 8-dimensional embedding supports area searches based on cosine similarity and anomaly scoring in the embedding space (using isolation forest, Mahalanobis distance, or k-nearest-neighbor density), which is normalized to a vulnerability score ranging from 0 to 1. If deep learning libraries are unavailable, or if the number of areas is small, an alternative method using deterministic principal component analysis is employed. Results: This method was implemented and deployed within an operational ICU decision support system on a managed cloud platform. The proof of concept (PoC) is structured around five secondary medical care areas within Kyoto Prefecture and runs entirely on synthetic facility-level aggregate data constructed to follow the JIPAD indicator schema; no registry data were accessed. It generated: an aggregate provision profile for each area; an area embedding space equipped with a similar-area search function; and a vulnerability ranking that identifies areas with low patient numbers and low diversity that exhibit overall poor outcomes. At this scale, the contrastive autoencoder falls back to principal component projection. The deep learning pathway has been implemented and unit testing has been completed; training and evaluation on actual registry data are pending data-use approval and the expansion of data integration. Validation is staged: Stage 2 will train the contrastive pathway over JIPAD-covered areas to assess construct validity against public structural indicators (ICU/HCU beds, population, accessibility), and Stage 3 will extend coverage to all areas via National Database (NDB) linkage. Conclusion: MedZone Embedder reframes regional comparison from single-indicator ranking to structural representation: which areas are alike, and which are structural outliers. The contribution of this paper is the framework - the proposal that the intensive care provision structure of Japanese secondary medical care areas can be learned from a national outcomes registry and read through the lens of what we call institutional debt - together with a deployed implementation and a pre-specified validation program. To our knowledge, this is a candidate first application of contrastive representation learning to Japanese secondary medical care areas.

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Multilevel Factors Associated with Nonresponse to Patient-Reported Outcome Measures in Routine Radiation Oncology Care

Liu, J. B.; Chen, Y.-J.; Edelen, M. O.; Pusic, A. L.; Martin, N. E.; Zeng, C.

2026-07-17 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358162 medRxiv
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Purpose: Nonresponse to routinely collected patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) threatens the representativeness of aggregated data. We characterized patient-, provider-, and clinic-level factors associated with PROMIS Global-10 nonresponse in routine radiation oncology care. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, all adults seen at five Mass General Brigham radiation oncology clinics over one year were included. The primary outcome was patient-level nonresponse, defined as never completing the portal-administered Global-10 versus completing it at least once. Using iterative mixed-effects logistic regression, we modeled patient-, provider-, and clinic-level factors. Results: Among 12,214 patients, 71 providers, and five clinics, patient- and appointment-level response rates were 35.4% and 10.9%, with patient-level response ranging nearly fivefold across clinics (12.8% to 66.2%). In Model 1, male sex, lower education, not working, and recent surgery had higher odds of nonresponse, and longer time since diagnosis lower odds. After provider- and clinic-level factors were added, patient sex, education, and employment became nonsignificant, whereas recent surgery (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.97) and longer time since diagnosis (aOR 0.46 for >12 months) persisted. A provider's historical collection rate was protective but attenuated at the clinic level. There, a later program launch (aOR 0.29) and higher historical collection rate (aOR 0.79) correlated with lower nonresponse, whereas academic versus community setting did not. Conclusions: Nonresponse to routinely collected PROMs is a multilevel phenomenon driven substantially by clinic-level implementation factors, not patient characteristics alone. Because response rate is only a proxy for representativeness, PROMs programs and PRO-based performance measures should prioritize representative collection over volume.

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FootNet: A Multi-View Smartphone Dataset and Four-Model Benchmark for Clinical Foot Segmentation

Vijay, A.; Prabhune, A.; Srihari, V. R.; Rayampalli, A.

2026-07-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358117 medRxiv
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We present FootNet, a 453-image multi-view smartphone foot dataset for binary foot segmentation, with expertannotated masks across six anatomical views (dorsal, medial, and plantar, both left and right). We benchmark four segmentation models under a controlled protocol: U-Net with a MobileNetV2 encoder achieves the best performance (IoU 0.9268, Dice 0.9608, 95 % CI [0.9209, 0.9320]); DeepLabV3 with MobileNetV3-Large scores IoU 0.8984 (Dice 0.9449); UNet++ with MobileNetV2 scores IoU 0.8913 (Dice 0.9391); and SAM ViT-B with oracle boundingbox prompt scores IoU 0.9219 on the matched 191-image subset. Bonferroni-corrected Wilcoxon signed-rank tests (k = 6 comparisons) show U-Net significantly outperforms DeepLab (p < 0.001, r = 0.638) and SAM ViT-B with oracle boundingbox (p = 0.005, r = 0.202); UNet++ does not significantly differ from DeepLab (p = 0.062). Connected-component postprocessing yields negligible benefit (mean {triangleup}IoU = +0.0003, 12 of 453 images improved). The extended dataset is available upon request

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Neonatal admission as a marker of risk for poor educational attainment and special educational needs in children aged 5-11 years

John, A.; Pike, C.; Olga, L.; Sovio, U.; Wong, H. S.; Smith, G. C.; Aiken, C.

2026-07-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358132 medRxiv
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Background: Children born prematurely (before 37 weeks) or admitted to the neonatal unit (NNU) are at increased risk of adverse long-term physical health outcomes. It is also recognised that there is an association with later academic performance and special educational needs, however it is not clear whether these broad risk factors could be used as stand-alone heuristics to identify children who may benefit from additional support in educational settings. We aimed to examine the associations between neonatal unit (NNU) admission and educational attainment in mid-childhood. Methods and Findings: Pregnancy data from a prospective birth cohort (Pregnancy Outcome Prediction Study, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 2008-2012) were linked to national educational outcomes (Department for Education, United Kingdom). Multivariable regression models adjusted for maternal, child, and socioeconomic factors were used to evaluate associations between (i) all NNU admissions, (ii) at term NNU admissions >48 hours, (iii) preterm birth without ongoing physical health needs, and educational outcomes at ages 5-11 years. Children who required any NNU care were more likely not to meet expected educational standards across multiple ages and domains in early and mid-childhood: age 5 early year foundation (aOR 1.64, 95% CI 1.19-2.27, p=0.003), phonics at age 6 (aOR 2.43, 95% CI 1.72-3.57, p<0.001), and at age 7 (here assessments were divided into multiple domains): reading (aOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.18-2.38, p=0.004), writing (aOR 1.72, 95% CI 1.25-2.38, p<0.001), mathematics (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.09-2.22, p=0.020), and science (aOR 1.85, 95% CI 1.22-2.78, p=0.003). Similar patterns were observed among both at term-born infants who stayed >48hrs in NNU (phonics assessment at age 6 aOR 2.26, 95% CI 1.51-3.36, p<0.001) and in children born preterm without long-term physical health sequelae (phonics assessment at age 6 aOR 3.07, 95% CI 1.96-4.81, p<0.001). These associations were robust to adjustment for demographic, perinatal, and socio-economic factors. By age 11, differences in academic attainment were attenuated and no longer clearly distinguishable across all exposure groups. However, there was an increased likelihood of special educational needs (SEN) at age 11 associated with any NNU admission (aOR 1.78, 95% CI 1.15-2.73, p=0.009), at term NNU admission for >48hrs (aOR 1.88, 95% CI 1.19-3.00, p=0.007), and children born preterm without long-term physical health sequelae (aOR 1.50, 95% CI 1.00-2.25, p=0.049). Predictive performance of any NNU admission for SEN at age 11 was moderate (AUC 0.70, 95% CI: 1.14-2.65, p=0.010), with balanced sensitivity and specificity and high negative predictive value. Conclusions: NNU admission, for both term and preterm infants, is associated with poorer educational outcomes and an increased likelihood of special educational needs in mid-childhood.